固体推进剂燃烧表面温度的预估

通过对燃烧表面附近气相产物的分析,建立了固体推进剂化学结构与燃烧表面温度(Ts)的对应关系。在一定假设和实验的基础上,使对应关系定量化,由此提出了预估推进剂燃烧表面温度的方法。由该预估方法计算的燃烧表面温度、及其随压强变化的规律都与实际情况基本一致。并进一步提出了燃烧表面温度与催化剂分解峰温(Tm)相匹配原则,作为推进剂燃烧催化剂选择的新原则。     

Space Environment Prediction for SZ-4 and SZ-5

The Space Environment Prediction Center (SEPC) of the Center for Space Science and Applied Research of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CSSAR, CAS)took on the mission of offering the space environment parameters which may be of use to the safety of manned spacecraft. In order to complete the space environment safety guarantee mission for SZ-4 and SZ-5, SEPC improved the space environment monitoring system, database system, prediction result display system, prediction implementation system, etc. For guaranteeing the safety of the airship and cosmonaut in the first manned SZ-5, flying experiment mission,SEPC developed the software for analyzing radiation dose and early-warning software for large debris collision with SZ-5. Three months before the flights of SZ-4 and SZ-5, SEPC began to predict the safe launch period in view of the space environment, and offered timely and valid reference opinions for selecting the safety period. Especially during the mission of SZ-5, SEPC analyzed the space high-energy environment in a pre-arranged orbit and abnormal orbit andevaluated the radiation dose which cosmonauts may encounter in space. The evaluation offered an important reference for cosmonaut safety and decisionmaking in the SZ-5 mission. The calculation of the distribution of large debris and the collision risk assessment at different orbit entry times for SZ-5 provided an important base for the superior department to make flight decisions.     

航天器力学环境分析与条件设计研究进展

航天器力学环境条件是航天器及其部组件设计和地面试验验证的主要依据,直接影响着航天器的总体设计水平。随着我国航天事业的飞速发展,对航天器及其有效载荷的设计提出了越来越高的要求,而力学环境分析与条件设计技术已经成为制约我国航天器荷载比提高的瓶颈技术。本文重点针对航天器力学环境分析与条件设计技术所涉及的航天器力学环境预示理论方法,高精度有限元建模与模型修正技术以及航天器力学环境条件设计技术三个方面国内外研究进展进行了回顾,特别是对近五年来我国航天工业部门在航天器力学环境分析与条件设计领域取得的成就进行了综合评述。在此基础上,结合我国航天工程的实际需求,分析指出了今后在航天器力学环境分析与条件设计领域的主要研究方向。     

某型尾吊高平尾飞机失速特性试飞方法研究

某型尾吊高平尾飞机通过安装失速保护系统改善失速特性,满足了适航条例的要求。介绍了失速保护系统的设计,从保障试飞安全的失速试飞准备工作、失速保护系统研制试飞与失速特性验证试飞三个方面研究了安装失速保护系统飞机的失速试飞方法。     

尾缘吹气式火焰稳定器流场计算

用修正的ｋ－ε模型、ＳＩＭＰＬＥＲ方法,对二元管道中新型火焰稳定器后冷态流场进行了数值模拟,研究了气流参数及稳定器几何参数变化对回流区结构的影响。为研究、分析新型稳定器燃烧性能,设计新型稳定器提供了依据。     

基于小裂纹断裂力学的冷端盘燕尾槽疲劳全寿命预测技术研究

本文通过对航空发动机冷端盘燕尾槽子构件及其材料钛合金ＴＣ１１ 的小裂纹扩展行为和疲劳的试验研究,燕尾槽子构件小裂纹的应力强度因子权函数解的分析研究,并利用塑性诱导的Ｎｅｗ ｍ ａｎ 裂纹闭合模型,建立起从裂纹开始萌生的燕尾槽槽底疲劳全寿命预测模型。结果表明,该模型预测子构件的疲劳寿命的误差在工程所允许的二倍寿命以内     

FMS巡航阶段的垂直轨迹预测算法及应用

飞机的飞行过程涉及多个垂直飞行阶段,巡航阶段占了绝大部分的飞行时间、飞行距离及燃油消耗,研究飞行管理系统（FMS）巡航阶段的垂直轨迹预测算法,对于提升飞行的经济性、舒适性、安全性是非常重要和必要的。为了满足不同类型飞机之间巡航阶段垂直轨迹预测算法的通用性,提高垂直轨迹预测的精确度和可信度,提出一种适用于巡航阶段的垂直轨迹预测算法。首先,通过计算巡航阶段的速度剖面,构建预测过程中更加符合实际的大气模型;然后基于第一性原理（第一法则）的飞机模型计算所需的巡航燃油流量数据,通过设计的巡航阶段垂直轨迹预测算法逻辑,给出巡航阶段预测的垂直轨迹;最后通过地面仿真试验和空中试飞验证算法的有效性与准确性。结果表明：本文提出的基于第一性原理飞机模型的FMS 巡航阶段垂直轨迹预测算法能够预测飞机的巡航轨迹,且预测精度误差低于1%。     

Multi-wavelength study of the short term TeV flaring activity from the blazar Mrk 501 observed in June 2014

In this work, we study the short term flaring activity from the high synchrotron peaked blazar Mrk 501 detected by the FACT and H.E.S.S. telescopes in the energy range 2–20 TeV during June 23–24, 2014 (MJD 56831.86–56831.94). We revisit this major TeV flare of the source in the context of near simultaneous multi-wavelength observations of $\gamma$–rays in MeV-GeV regime with Fermi-LAT, soft X-rays in 0.3–10 keV range with Swift-XRT, hard X-rays in 10–20 keV and 15–50 keV bands with MAXI and Swift-BAT respectively, UV-Optical with Swift-UVOT and 15 GHz radio with OVRO telescope. We have performed a detailed temporal and spectral analysis of the data from Fermi-LAT, Swift-XRT and Swift-UVOT during the period June 15–30, 2014 (MJD 56823–56838). Near simultaneous archival data available from Swift-BAT, MAXI and OVRO telescope along with the V-band optical polarization measurements from SPOL observatory are also used in the study of giant TeV flare of Mrk 501 detected by the FACT and H.E.S.S. telescopes. No significant change in the multi-wavelength emission from radio to high energy $\gamma$–rays during the TeV flaring activity of Mrk 501 is observed except variation in soft X-rays. The varying soft X-ray emission is found to be correlated with the $\gamma$–ray emission at TeV energies during the flaring activity of the source. The soft X-ray photon spectral index is observed to be anti-correlated with the integral flux showing harder-when-brighter behavior. An average value of 4.5$\%$ for V-band optical polarization is obtained during the above period whereas the corresponding electric vector position angle changes significantly. We have used the minimum variability timescale from the H.E.S.S. observations to estimate the Doppler factor of the emission region which is found to be consistent with the previous studies of the source.     

冕洞特征参数与地磁暴强度及发生时间统计

地磁暴是空间天气预报的重要对象.在太阳活动周下降年和低年，冕洞发出的高速流经过三天左右行星际传输到达地球并引发的地磁暴占主导地位.目前地磁暴的预报通常依赖于1AU处卫星就位监测的太阳风参数，预报提前量只有1h左右.为了增加地磁暴预报提前量，需要从高速流和地磁暴的源头即太阳出发，建立冕洞特征参数与地磁暴的定量关系.分析了2010年5月到2016年12月的152个冕洞-地磁暴事件，利用SDO/AIA太阳极紫外图像提取了两类冕洞特征参数，分析了其与地磁暴期间ap，Dst和AE三种地磁指数的统计关系，给出冕洞特征参数与地磁暴强度以及发生时间的统计特征，为基于冕洞成像观测提前1～3天预报地磁暴提供了依据.      

基于深度学习的超临界裂解煤油流量特性研究

为了明晰超临界裂解煤油的流量特性，实现对超临界裂解煤油流量的准确预测，采用实验方法测量了较大压力和温度范围内超临界裂解煤油的流量，对超临界裂解煤油流量特性进行了分析，基于多元线性回归方法，多元多项式回归方法和深度学习方法分别建立了超临界裂解煤油流量预测模型并给出了模型评估指标。研究结果表明，超临界裂解煤油流量主要与压降和温度有关，并且流量与压降和温度之间存在着很强的非线性关系；基于深度学习方法的深度神经网络模型性能优于多元线性回归模型和多元多项式回归模型，能够更加准确地刻画超临界裂解煤油的流量特性，其平均相对预测误差在1.1%左右，最大相对预测误差在7%以下。